Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 364.069808 413.669256 468.975314 535.475224 613.604063 702.893087 813.245637
2025-08-31 286.296067 349.679943 426.828147 528.653368 661.024519 829.377688 1063.098066
2025-09-07 247.518969 316.633164 405.673255 530.714566 704.907132 943.759381 1304.611957
2025-09-14 215.649359 285.860342 380.392252 519.820561 725.196903 1024.817044 1511.021138
2025-09-21 194.253823 265.456112 365.035878 518.349342 755.660951 1121.864683 1756.801093
2025-09-28 171.459682 240.033064 338.890712 496.467104 750.502234 1161.288717 1914.767402
2025-10-05 163.237640 234.497031 340.633987 516.324200 812.552223 1317.327255 2304.659546
2025-10-12 157.022913 231.074670 344.806176 539.954959 883.535083 1499.838202 2785.375577
2025-10-19 147.310520 221.164241 337.532601 543.350799 919.351254 1624.496573 3181.350928
2025-10-26 135.655095 207.051599 321.957261 530.399261 923.251988 1688.562359 3463.828627
2025-11-02 126.146136 195.567797 309.568766 521.449017 933.010638 1765.174363 3792.704783
2025-11-09 121.573622 191.807084 309.787024 535.187508 988.419403 1945.307393 4415.950467
2025-11-16 114.405139 183.269367 301.266567 532.243738 1011.219576 2062.649732 4925.866182
2025-11-23 107.034233 173.832415 290.361316 523.570375 1021.069335 2153.476754 5396.439097
2025-11-30 101.959547 167.986641 285.360754 525.827075 1054.553576 2306.076919 6093.836472
2025-12-07 95.617062 159.395583 274.536117 515.028379 1057.282368 2383.788681 6592.756078
2025-12-14 91.030587 153.646193 268.556154 513.576221 1081.221248 2520.533464 7332.520822
2025-12-21 84.407326 143.705983 253.783636 491.933993 1054.357724 2517.451520 7597.895593
2025-12-28 83.069335 143.507678 257.897899 511.573119 1130.720777 2814.569009 9065.541940
2026-01-04 82.149049 144.013570 263.415245 534.942275 1220.456385 3173.074843 10955.743485
2026-01-11 79.204705 140.408799 260.312443 538.300334 1258.785366 3386.984635 12366.777415
2026-01-18 74.905079 133.884080 250.712348 525.492640 1251.806441 3457.050072 13178.476540
2026-01-25 71.282238 128.484915 243.084502 516.641396 1254.595975 3560.479979 14208.201512